National Wheat Outlook

Overall, the crop outlook for the state as a whole will finish below average. Specifically, SWQ and SEQ have yield outcomes ranked in the bottom 25% of all years and yield departures of -27% and -19% from the long-term median, respectively. Conversely, CQ has yield outcomes close to the long-term expectation (39th percentile and -6% below the long-term median).

Metrics (i.e. Median and percentage deviation) for both maps were derived from a long-term simulated time-series utilising a regional scale biophysical crop model (OZ Wheat MII) for 115 years for each shire.