The current winter crop outlook for the state as a whole indicates a predicted crop yield of 1.31 t/ha, which is 21% below the long-term median yield expectation of the state.
This outlook incorporates current soil water conditions and the seasonal rainfall outlook based on the southern oscillation index. The protracted drier than average conditions during June has resulted in an unfavourable start to the winter cropping season for most of QLD's cropping region. Specifically, some parts of SWQ and southern CQ have yield outcomes ranked in the bottom 20% of all years, while most parts of southern QLD have yield outcomes ranked in the 20th to 40th percentiles. Widespread above average rainfall is needed during the next month to improve the current below average outlook. The range of yield predictions will narrow considerably over the next few months as the outlook is updated through the season.
Full Qld Wheat Outlook for July 2017
