Regional Sorghum Outlook March 2017 (Australia)

6 Mar 2017

Summary

At this late stage of the season, predicted average crop yield is estimated as 2.94 t/ha, which is slightly above (65th percentile) the long-term median expectation for north eastern Australia’s (NEAUS) summer cropping region. However, large variation exists across regions with a spatial yield dipole between northern and southern parts of NEAUS. Predicted sorghum yields for Queensland (QLD), and northern New South Wales (NNSW) are 2.45 t/ha and 3.59 t/ha, respectively. Within QLD, Central Queensland (CQ) has a below median forecast yield on 1.7 t/ha, which falls in the bottom  20% of all years, while southeast QLD (SEQ) has a forecast median yield of 3.47 t/ha, which is similar to the long term median for that region. Southwest QLD (SWQ) has a predicted yield of 2.18 t/ha, which is slightly above (67th percentile) the long-term median yield expectation. Note that large local variation in crop yields exist within shires. In addition, this crop outlook is based on a crop-free (fallow) practice through the winter season and therefore areas with longer fallow practices are likely to have better yield prospect.

Full Regional Sorghum Outlook for March 2017

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